In the quest for sustainable energy solutions, converting waste to energy through a process called pyrolysis has gained significant attention. Among the products of pyrolysis, biochar stands out for its versatility and potential benefits in various applications, including soil improvement and carbon sequestration. The yield of biochar, however, is influenced by various factors, making it challenging to predict and optimize production.   In a recent study published in Scientific Reports, Uppalapati et al. (2025) employed machine learning techniques to develop a predictive model for biochar yield. The researchers utilized a dataset of 134 samples, encompassing different biomass types and pyrolysis conditions, to train and evaluate five machine learning models: Lasso regression, Tweedie regression, random forest, XGBoost, and Gradient boosting regression.  

Among these models, XGBoost emerged as the superior performer, achieving a remarkable accuracy in predicting biochar yield. The model demonstrated an R-squared value of 0.9739 for the training data and 0.8875 for the test data, indicating its ability to explain a significant portion of the variability in biochar yield. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was also impressively low, at 2.14% for training and 3.8% for testing, further confirming the model’s accuracy. The researchers also employed SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis to interpret the XGBoost model and identify the key factors influencing biochar yield. They found that ash content and moisture negatively impacted biochar yield, while factors such as final pyrolysis temperature (FPT), nitrogen content, and carbon content had a significant positive influence.  

This study highlights the potential of machine learning in predicting and optimizing biochar production. The XGBoost model developed by Uppalapati et al. (2025) offers a valuable tool for researchers and practitioners in the field of biochar, enabling them to make informed decisions regarding feedstock selection and pyrolysis conditions to maximize biochar yield and its associated benefits.  


Source: Uppalapati, S., Paramasivam, P., Kilari, N., Chohan, J. S., Kanti, P. K., Vemanaboina, H., Dabelo, L. H., & Gupta, R. (2025). Precision biochar yield forecasting employing random forest and XGBoost with Taylor diagram visualization. Scientific Reports, 15(1), Article 7105. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-91450-w


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